With the US officially reaffirming the recognition
of President Hassan Sheikh Mahmoud’s government as the legitimate and
sole representative of Somalia after twenty long years of civil strife
and political wilderness, the secessionist entity of Somaliland that
failed dismally to muster any meaningful support for its futile
exercise for international recognition has now been given one last
diplomatic lifeline: to federate with Somalia or face a slow death and
total irrelevance. In the Q&A session that followed president
Mahmoud’s reception at the US State Department, the outgoing secretary
Hillary Clinton had confirmed that the infamous dual track policy that
seemed to favor the secessionists at one stage is now dead in the
water, ultimately delivering a hammer blow to the secessionists’
elusive international recognition.
The writing was always on the wall for the
secessionists, except the SNM elites in Hargeisa and elsewhere in the
former British Protectorate have adopted no-hear, no-see policy on the
international law to the point of delusion that Ismail Omar Geulleh of
Djibouti had ridiculed them in his interview with the Indian Ocean
Newsletter by saying this: “they [the secessionists] put the cart before the horse”.
To put President Geulleh’s remarks in plain and simple English, the
secessionists have got their priorities spectacularly wrong.
Their unrealistic and rather
hopeless quest for international recognition has become an obsession to
the point that even their own people have now lost faith in them that
they don’t take them seriously anymore. Who will blame them? What is
more ironic about the secessionists is the fact that Hargeisa is teeming
with men and women of high diplomatic stature and experience who are
well versed on the international law, but unfortunately the men with
guns in their midst have taken them for a ride and put the entire
population on straitjacket.
The long-awaited US recognition of
Somalia comes on the backdrop of events that started last year with
the endorsement of the United National Security Council that Somalia’s
sovereignty, territorial integrity and its unity (oneness) is sacred in
resolution 10768. Unless secessionists are living in cloud cuckoo land,
which indeed most of their politicians were living in the past twenty
years, even the optimists in their midst should now hold up their hands
and say enough is enough; it is all over. Even the diehard
secessionist, Faisal Ali Waraabe, who infamously said that the boy born
in Addis Ababa (Ethiopia) is preferable to him [Somaliland] to the boy
born in Mudug, has finally lost hope and relayed the doom news from
Washington DC to his fellow politicians that the chance of “Somaliland”
getting diplomatic recognition is dead and needs to be given a decent
burial, even if his blame was directed at Ahmed Silanyo, the
secessionist’s president.
Political pundits, including the
author of this article believe the odds of Somaliland getting
international recognition is comparable to winning the Euro Millions (a
transnational lottery played in seven European countries) where the
chance of landing the jackpot (the highest prize) is an astounding 1
in 76,275,360 (one in seventy six millions). Recognition is as hard as
this, and this is perhaps why Fowzia Yusuf Haji Aden, the current
Foreign Minister of Somalia and former aspirant for the top office of
the secessionists, has jumped this stricken ship. To see the measure of
desperation in the secessionist enclave, Fowzia has recently been
mobbed by secessionist admirers in her latest stopover in Berbera
airport en route to Mogadishu, whilst Mohamed Abdillahi Oomar, who
previously held the same portfolio under the Transitional National
Government of Omar Abdirashid Ali Sharmarke, was cruelly refused to
attend the funeral of his beloved father for being part of Somalia
setup. Somalia’s new foreigner minister is considered by many as lucky
because she changed course at the right time.
How often you heard from their
politicians that the green shoots of recognition is around the corner
and that Hargeisa and Burao will soon become little Dubai or Kuwait
city overnight? Well, this could have been achieved, though not in the
same scale as the aforementioned cities, had secessionist politicians
stayed true to their Somali-ness and declared Hargeisa as the capital
of Somalia following the collapse of the Somali state in early 1991
when clan militias have ousted Siyad Barre from power. Should
secessionists used their heads rather than their hearts, Hargeisa and
Burao could have prospered than they are today and subsequently Somalia
might have been in a better position economically, politically and
financially than it is today in what could have been a win-win
situation for all Somalis.
Saca Faarsa tegay,
Soddon maalintuu qado,
sandulluu ku iman.
The above-mentioned Somali adage
roughly translates: a strayed cow that refuses to drink with the rest
of the herd will eventually come back after being thirsty for thirty
days. The fact that the secessionists are more than willing to sit down
with their fellow brothers that they so much despised in the past
speaks volumes about their lack of understanding in the international
politics. Not so long ago, when warlords were tearing Mogadishu
residents into shreds, the secessionists thought everything was wrapped
up for them at the expense of their fellow Somalis. Now it is their
turn to face the music. What a turnaround of fortunes!
The British government, which is about to
host a conference scheduled to take place in May this year, should
thread very carefully on the issue of Somali unity as the secessionists
in Hargeisa has neither the moral authority nor the mandate to
represent the people of northern Somalia, except their own
constituencies. The people of Northern Somalia, notably those from
Awdal, SSC and Makhir have their own representatives in Awdalstate,
Khatumo State of Somalia and Makhari State. As a former colonial
master, the British government should know the history of northern
Somalia better than anyone else. Let us remind everyone, including the
May conference hosts that the unionist communities in the aforementioned
regions are the very same people who formed United Somali party (USP)
in late 1959 to ensure they remain part and parcel of the big Somali
family, a noble principle they hold dearly to this date.
Even twenty years of lawlessness
in Somalia as well as SNM hegemony and transgression in their lands
could not dent their desire and aspirations to remain part of Somalia.
They withstood everything the secessionists could throw at them, even
when their cities and towns were razed to the ground, their properties
vandalized and their men and women slaughtered by the ruthless clan
militia of SNM. To this day, the people of Hudun, part of SSC territory,
are threatened by the clannish army of Somaliland.
It will be folly, therefore, for
the British government to extend a red carpet to the SNM-led
secessionists who, in reality, represent nobody but themselves and
exclude representatives of unionist communities such as Professor Ahmed
Ismail Samatar and Dr. Ali Khalif Galaydh from the upcoming May
conference scheduled to take place in London. These prominent figures
in Somali politics from northern regions of Somalia should be given an
opportunity to represent their people in Awdal and SCC territories
respectively as well as the Somalis in general. As for the
secessionists, they tried all they could to get international
legitimacy i.e. recognition but failed miserably. In light of the latest
US recognition of Somalia, which will soon be followed by the rest of
the international community, the repetition of the same failed policies
in the past twenty years will only result in the secessionists’
continued isolation and political wilderness. Federation is the only
realistic option open to them. The question on everyone’s lip,
therefore, is this: will they learn from their past mistakes, or simply
continue pursuing the same failed polices of secession? Only time will
tell.
Mohamed F Yabarag